Over his last 10 tournaments, Medvedev has won 79.8% of his service games and 28.8% of his return games. de Minaur has won 78.6% of his service games over his last 10 tournaments, and 37.0% of his return games.

U.S. Open finalist Taylor Fritz frustrated Daniil Medvedev to the point that that the Russian broke his racket and was docked a point in a 6-4, 6-3 victory for the American in the opening match of the ATP Finals.

The odds are in favour of Alex de Minaur earning his first ATP Finals victory against Daniil Medvedev going by current form.